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Betano offers outlier away win price on Curaçao against Ecuador
- Betano is offering a significant outlier price for Curaçao to defeat Ecuador in their World Cup clash on June 21, 2026.
- The outlier price of 26.00 is 69.9% above the market consensus average of 15.30 across 12 bookmakers.
- Such a massive divergence from the market consensus suggests a significant pricing model mismatch by the outlier bookmaker, offering high value.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: Ecuador vs Curaçao on 2026-06-21 00:00:00 UTC. Market: Match Winner (1X2). Selection: Away (Curaçao) win. Outlier bookmaker: Betano at 26.00 (implied probability of 3.85%). Consensus (average) odds: 15.30 (implied probability of 6.54%). Divergence percentage: (26.00 / 15.30 - 1) * 100 = 69.92%. Lowest available odds: 11.21 (implied probability of 8.92%). Comparison set: 12 bookmakers. Odds freshness is inferred from the upcoming fixture date and available pre-match odds in the Baselight database. This signal is relevant today because such a massive divergence from the market consensus suggests a significant pricing model mismatch by the outlier bookmaker.