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Possible 1X2 arbitrage in Scotland vs Morocco World Cup fixture

  • A potential 1X2 arbitrage opportunity exists for the upcoming World Cup match between Scotland and Morocco on June 19, 2026.
  • Combining the best available odds yields an implied probability sum of 94.34%, representing a potential risk-balanced margin of 5.66%.
  • This discrepancy allows bettors to lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the match outcome due to significant bookmaker disagreement.

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fixture: Scotland vs Morocco on 2026-06-19 22:00:00 UTC. Best odds: Home (Scotland) at 5.20 (10Bet), Draw at 3.70 (Bet365), Away (Morocco) at 2.08 (1xBet). Implied probabilities: Home (19.23%), Draw (27.03%), Away (48.08%). Total implied probability sum = 19.23% + 27.03% + 48.08% = 94.34% (arbitrage margin of 5.66%). Comparison set: 12 bookmakers checked. Odds freshness is inferred from the upcoming fixture date and available pre-match odds in the Baselight database. This signal is relevant today as it identifies a clear market-wide pricing mismatch across prominent bookmakers.

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