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Pinnacle offers outlier draw price on Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers

  • Pinnacle is offering an outlier price on a Draw for the Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers Premier Division fixture on June 19, 2026.
  • The price of 4.20 is 10.5% above Unibet's offering of 3.80 and represents a significant divergence from the market consensus.
  • Waterford's home record shows 6 draws in 10 matches (60%), which may explain the market's draw pricing relative to Pinnacle's outlier offer.

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 3 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fixture: Waterford vs Shamrock Rovers on 2026-06-19 18:45:00 UTC. Market: Match Winner (1X2). Selection: Draw. Outlier bookmaker: Pinnacle at 4.20 (implied probability of 23.81%). Consensus (average) odds: 3.99 (implied probability of 25.06%). Divergence percentage: (4.20 / 3.80 - 1) * 100 = 10.53% above the lowest available odds of 3.80 (Unibet). Best available odds: 4.20 (Pinnacle). Worst available odds: 3.80 (Unibet). Comparison set: 9 bookmakers. Stats context: Waterford is 10th (14 points, played 20) with a home record of 2 wins, 6 draws, 2 losses. Shamrock Rovers is 1st (40 points, played 21) with an away record of 4 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses. The divergence reflects different market assessments of draw probability in this matchup.

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