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Bookmakers diverge on Belgium away win odds against Spain
- Spain and Belgium prepare for a World Cup Quarter-Final clash where bookmakers disagree on Belgium's chances.
- Unibet offers an outlier price of 6.00 on a Belgium win, representing a 10.70% divergence from the consensus average of 5.42.
- This outlier price offers significant value for those backing Belgium to break Spain's historic defensive run of 6 consecutive clean sheets.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the World Cup Quarter-Final scheduled for 2026-07-10, Unibet offers an outlier price of 6.00 for a Belgium away win. This is 10.70% above the consensus average of 5.42 across 12 other bookmakers (including 1xBet at 5.98, Marathonbet at 5.80, Betano at 5.70, Pinnacle at 5.65, and Betfair at 5.50). The lowest available odds for a Belgium win is 5.00 (William Hill, 888Sport). Spain enters the match with a historic defensive record in the 2026 tournament, having kept 6 consecutive clean sheets (9 goals scored, 0 conceded) in 5 matches. Belgium has scored 13 goals and conceded 5. This exceptional defensive strength makes Spain heavy favorites, but the outlier price on Belgium warrants review.