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Mathematical arbitrage opportunity emerges in Morocco vs Haiti World Cup odds
- Divergence in bookmaker pricing on the Morocco vs Haiti World Cup fixture creates a possible 1X2 arbitrage opportunity
- The best available prices yield a total implied probability sum of 92.70%, representing a potential margin of 7.30%
- The mismatch is driven by outlier draw and away pricing at 1xBet alongside high home pricing at Dafabet
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
For the World Cup match on 2026-06-24, the best available pre-match odds in the 'Match Winner' market as of the 2026-06-22 snapshot are: Home (Morocco) win at 1.34 (Dafabet, implied probability 74.63%), Draw at 7.65 (1xBet, implied probability 13.07%), and Away (Haiti) win at 20.00 (1xBet, implied probability 5.00%). The sum of these best implied probabilities is 92.70%, creating a mathematical arbitrage margin of 7.30%. A total of 14 distinct bookmakers were evaluated in this comparison set. This signal is driven by 1xBet offering significant outlier odds on both the Draw (7.65 vs. 5.35 consensus average) and the Haiti win (20.00 vs. 10.80 consensus average).