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Undefeated home KuPS offered at high price against winless travelers Ilves
- KuPS are undefeated at home in the 2026 season (4 W, 3 D, 0 L in 7 matches) yet priced at 1.68 to beat Ilves
- Ilves have failed to win a single away match this season, conceding an average of 2.50 goals per road game
- The market-stat mismatch suggests bookmakers may be underestimating KuPS's home dominance
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the Veikkausliiga match on 2026-06-23, KuPS (3rd, 24 pts, 13 played) host Ilves (8th, 15 pts, 12 played; Ilves has a game in hand). KuPS are undefeated at home in 2026 (4 W, 3 D, 0 L in 7 matches), scoring 1.57 and conceding only 0.71 goals per game. Ilves have zero away wins (0 W, 3 D, 3 L in 6 matches), conceding 2.50 goals per away game. Despite KuPS's home dominance and Ilves's winless away record, Dafabet offers KuPS at 1.68 (59.52% implied) against a consensus average of 1.64 across 14 bookmakers (1.60–1.68).