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Ivory Coast priced as heavy underdogs despite strong recent form in World Cup opener
- Ivory Coast is priced as a heavy underdog against Ecuador in their upcoming World Cup fixture despite winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Bookmakers offer odds as high as 3.75 for an Ivory Coast win, representing an implied probability of just 26.67% compared to their recent form.
- This pricing mismatch suggests that a double chance bet on Ivory Coast or a draw offers significant statistical value for bettors.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the World Cup fixture on June 14, 2026, Ivory Coast is priced as a substantial underdog against Ecuador, with Marathonbet offering 3.75 for a home win (consensus 3.54, range 3.30 to 3.77 across 13 bookmakers). However, Ivory Coast's recent form is strong, having won 4 of their last 5 matches: 2-1 vs France, 1-0 vs Scotland, 4-0 vs South Korea, and 2-1 vs Burkina Faso at AFCON, with their only recent loss coming 3-2 to Egypt in January 2026. Ecuador is unbeaten in their last five but has drawn three of them (1-1 vs Netherlands, 1-1 vs Morocco, and 0-0 vs Canada). This statistical profile suggests that the market may be underestimating Ivory Coast's current form, making an investigation of Ivory Coast or Draw (Double Chance) highly relevant.