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Soccer Odds
June 11, 2026
Outlier01SOCCER-ODDS
Ivory Coast priced as heavy underdogs despite strong recent form in World Cup opener
- Ivory Coast is priced as a heavy underdog against Ecuador in their upcoming World Cup fixture despite winning 4 of their last 5 matches.
- Bookmakers offer odds as high as 3.75 for an Ivory Coast win, representing an implied probability of just 26.67% compared to their recent form.
- This pricing mismatch suggests that a double chance bet on Ivory Coast or a draw offers significant statistical value for bettors.
Outlier02SOCCER-ODDS
In-form Iran offered at near-even money against struggling New Zealand
- Iran is offered at near-even money against New Zealand despite a stark divergence in recent form between the two national teams.
- Iran is priced at 1.95 to win, while New Zealand is winless in five matches and has conceded 10 goals during a four-match losing streak.
- This represents a clear market mismatch where bettors can capitalize on an in-form team priced generously against a struggling opponent.
Outlier03SOCCER-ODDS
Home-strong Lahti generously priced against struggling, winless SJK
- Lahti is generously priced to win at home against SJK in their upcoming Veikkausliiga match despite a strong home record and SJK's winless away run.
- Lahti is priced as high as 2.33 to win, while SJK is winless in five matches overall and has a poor 0-1-3 away record this season.
- The market appears to be underestimating Lahti's home advantage, offering high-value odds on a team that is unbeaten in their last four home games.
Cross-Signal04SOCCER-ODDS
Shelbourne vs Shamrock Rovers: BTTS pricing may undervalue recent scoring patterns
- Both Teams to Score "Yes" is priced at 1.83 despite Shelbourne showing a 73.68% BTTS rate this season and five of their last six meetings featuring both teams scoring.
- The pricing (implied probability 54.64%) appears conservative relative to the teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns.
- This statistical alignment suggests potential value in the BTTS market.