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Possible 1x2 arbitrage in Türkiye vs FYR Macedonia friendly

  • A pre-match arbitrage opportunity is available for the friendly match between Türkiye and FYR Macedonia.
  • Using the best odds from Unibet and 1xBet produces a total implied probability of 99.58%, representing a 0.42% arbitrage margin.
  • This pricing discrepancy allows smart bettors to secure a risk-free return by exploiting market inefficiencies between bookmakers.

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

For the Türkiye vs FYR Macedonia friendly on June 1, 2026, the best pre-match odds are: Türkiye to win at 1.27 (Unibet), Draw at 7.10 (1xBet), and FYR Macedonia to win at 14.80 (1xBet). The corresponding implied probabilities are 78.74% (home), 14.09% (draw), and 6.76% (away). The sum of these probabilities is 99.58%, creating a possible pre-match arbitrage opportunity with a 0.42% margin. A comparison set of 11 bookmakers was checked (including Betano, William Hill, Pinnacle, and Betfair). 1xBet's away win price of 14.80 is a major outlier, sitting 25.5% above the market consensus of 11.80 (with Unibet offering the lowest price at 10.00). Odds freshness is guaranteed by the May 31, 2026, collection date in the Baselight database.

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