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Possible 1x2 arbitrage in Germany vs Finland international friendly
- A pre-match arbitrage opportunity has emerged in the Germany vs Finland international friendly match.
- Combining the best odds from 1xBet and Betano yields a total implied probability of 99.52%, creating a risk-free margin of 0.48%.
- Bettors can lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the match outcome by distributing stakes across different bookmakers.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 6 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
For the Germany vs Finland friendly on May 31, 2026, the best available pre-match odds are: Germany to win at 1.16 (1xBet), Draw at 11.40 (1xBet), and Finland to win at 22.00 (Betano). The individual implied probabilities are 86.21% for the home win, 8.77% for the draw, and 4.55% for the away win. Summing these probabilities yields 99.52%, resulting in a risk-balanced arbitrage margin of 0.48%. A total of 12 bookmakers were compared in this snapshot window (including Pinnacle, SBO, Betfair, and Bet365). Betano's price of 22.00 on Finland is a massive outlier, sitting 44.8% above the market consensus of 15.19 (with SBO offering the lowest price at 10.12). Odds freshness is inferred from the May 31, 2026, collection timestamp in the match_betting_odds table.