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Pinnacle prices Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen draw well above consensus

  • Pinnacle is offering outlier odds of 4.39 on a draw in the crucial 2. Bundesliga relegation playoff second leg.
  • This price sits 11.20% above the 13-bookmaker consensus of 3.95 and is 26.15% higher than the market low of 3.48.
  • With Essen defending a 1-0 first-leg lead, a highly competitive and tight fixture is expected.

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

In the Match Winner market for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen on 2026-05-26, Pinnacle offers outlier odds of 4.39 (implied probability 22.78%) on the Draw. The consensus average across 13 bookmakers is 3.95, with SBO offering the market low of 3.48 (implied probability 28.74%). Pinnacle's odds are 11.20% above consensus and 26.15% above SBO. In the first leg on 2026-05-22, Rot-Weiß Essen secured a 1-0 home victory. Greuther Fürth must win at home to avoid relegation, which sets up a highly defensive and tense second leg where a draw would secure Essen's promotion/survival, making Pinnacle's elevated draw price a key target for review.

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