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Arbitrage opportunity in Bolívar vs Independiente Rivadavia goals market (May 27)
- A cross-bookmaker arbitrage opportunity exists in the Over/Under 2.5 goals market for the Bolívar vs Independiente Rivadavia fixture on May 27, 2026.
- Combining 1.78 odds on Over 2.5 (1xBet/Betano/SBO) with 2.35 on Under 2.5 (10Bet) yields an implied probability sum of 98.73%.
- This pricing mismatch produces a guaranteed mathematical margin of 1.27% across available pre-match odds.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 2 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
For the Bolívar vs Independiente Rivadavia CONMEBOL Libertadores match on 2026-05-27, odds collected on 2026-05-26 reveal a clear arbitrage window. The best available odds for Over 2.5 Goals are 1.78 (offered by 1xBet, Betano, and SBO), implying a 56.18% probability. The best odds for Under 2.5 Goals are 2.35 (offered by 10Bet), implying a 42.55% probability. The combined implied probability is 98.73% (56.18% + 42.55%), leaving a risk-free margin of 1.27%. A comparison of 10 bookmakers shows that 10Bet's 2.35 is a massive outlier, sitting 12.66% above the consensus average of 2.09, where other bookies like Pinnacle and Betfair have adjusted down to 2.05.