US 2024 Presidential Election
Check out our popular polling averages UPDATED JAN. 24, 2024, AT 11:50 AM
@kaggle.willianoliveiragibin_us_2024_presidential_election
Check out our popular polling averages UPDATED JAN. 24, 2024, AT 11:50 AM
@kaggle.willianoliveiragibin_us_2024_presidential_election
In the aftermath of the 2020 presidential election, former President Donald Trump remains a prominent figure in American politics, especially within the Republican Party. Recent polls conducted from Jan. 4 to Jan. 23, 2024, shed light on Trump's favorability among Republicans, showcasing varying sentiments within the party.
According to a series of polls by YouGov and The Economist, conducted from Jan. 21 to Jan. 23, Trump's favorability among Republicans is notable. The first poll, with a sample size of 476, indicates an 83% favorable rating, while the second, with a larger sample size of 1,497 registered voters (RV), shows a more nuanced picture with a 46% favorable and 53% unfavorable rating. Despite some divergence in these results, the overall average favors Trump with a +68 net favorability.
Morning Consult's polls, conducted from Jan. 18 to Jan. 20 with both likely voters (LV) and RV, reveal similar trends. Among Republicans, Trump's favorability is consistently high, with an 81% favorable rating among LV and a 46% favorable rating among RV. The net favorability in both cases remains positive, at +63 and +5, respectively.
HarrisX/Harris Poll and Echelon Insights also contribute to the broader understanding of Trump's standing within the Republican base. The polls conducted from Jan. 17 to Jan. 18 by HarrisX/Harris Poll and Echelon Insights show favorable ratings of 80% and 43%, respectively, among RV and LV. However, the latter poll indicates a more balanced scenario with an even split in net favorability, while the former shows a +63 net favorability.
Moving to Ipsos and ABC News polls conducted from Jan. 16 to Jan. 17 and Jan. 10 to Jan. 17, the results remain positive for Trump. Among Republicans, Ipsos reports a 72% favorable rating, while the later poll shows a slightly lower but still substantial 66% favorable rating. Both polls indicate positive net favorability scores of +46 and +34, respectively.
The most recent set of polls by YouGov and The Economist, conducted from Jan. 14 to Jan. 16, presents a nuanced picture with favorable ratings of 84%, 45%, and 45% among Republicans. The net favorability scores range from +69 to +5, highlighting the diversity of opinions within the Republican base.
It's crucial to note the potential influence of partisan affiliations on these polls. The organizations conducting the polls vary in their partisan ties, and understanding these dynamics can provide additional context to the reported favorability ratings. As Trump continues to be a central figure in Republican politics, these polls offer a snapshot of his current standing within the party, reflecting the complexity and diversity of opinions among Republicans.
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