Moore's Law?

this graph was created in Loocker and OurDataWorld:

Moore’s Law has held true for more than half a century
In 1965, Gordon Moore predicted that this growth would continue for another 10 years, at least. Was he right?

In the chart, we’ve visualized the growth in transistor density – the number of transistors on integrated circuits – from 1970 onwards.

It looks strikingly similar to Moore’s simple plot from 1965. Note again that the transistor count is on a logarithmic axis, so the linear relationship over time means that the growth rate has been constant.

This means that the growth of the transistor count has, in fact, been exponential. You can also see this on our interactive chart, which shows the average transistor count over time and where you can switch between a linear and a log axis.

Transistor counts have doubled approximately every two years, just as Moore predicted.

This has held true for more than 50 years now.

Since its inception in 1965, Moore's Law has stood as a guiding principle for the relentless pace of technological advancement. Coined by Gordon E. Moore, one of the visionaries behind Intel, this observation has become a cornerstone of the digital age, shaping our expectations and driving innovation forward.

At its core, Moore's Law is not a decree etched in stone but rather a testament to the remarkable trajectory of technological progress. It highlights a fascinating trend: the doubling of transistors on computer chips approximately every two years. Moore himself sketched this phenomenon on a logarithmic scale, revealing a straight line that symbolized the constancy of exponential growth.

In his original proclamation, Moore dared to predict the future, envisioning a landscape where this exponential surge would persist unabated. "There is no reason to believe it will not remain constant for at least 10 years," he hypothesized, demonstrating both his insight and audacity.

Over the decades, Moore's Law has become more than just an observation; it's a mantra for the tech industry, a rallying cry for progress. It has fueled a perpetual race towards smaller, faster, and more powerful computing devices. From the bulky mainframes of yesteryears to the sleek smartphones of today, every leap forward stands as a testament to this enduring principle.

Yet, Moore's Law is not without its skeptics. Some have questioned its sustainability in the face of physical limitations and economic constraints. As transistors approach atomic scales and production costs escalate, the once-unstoppable march of Moore's Law seems to falter.

But even in the face of skepticism, the spirit of Moore's Law persists. It reminds us of the boundless potential of human ingenuity and the unyielding march of progress. Whether it continues to hold true in its original form or evolves into a new paradigm, Moore's Law remains a symbol of our collective ambition to push the boundaries of what is possible in the realm of technology.