NBA Draft Player Projections
Superstars, Starters, Role Players, and Busts
By FiveThirtyEight [source]
About this dataset
This dataset contains key historical projections for NBA Draft players, designed to help you gain insights into who is likely to become a superstar, starter, role player or bust. With data on more than 250 athletes included in this dataset, it's the perfect resource for anyone who wants to do an analysis and make predictions about the future of basketball. Utilizing this detailed information allows you to see which players may have stepped onto the court as stars and still become underrated prospects, allowing you to evaluate your opinions about draft picks before they come onto someone else's radar. Explore every position from guards and forwards all the way down low with data points including projected SPM (score per minute) and the likelihood of fulfilling each possible career trajectory-- leaving no question unanswered. Leverage this intricate selection of numbers under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License so that draft day decisions can be made with confidence
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How to use the dataset
This dataset contains the historical projections for NBA Draft 2015 players, such as their projected SPM and their likelihood of becoming a Superstar, Starter, Role Player or Bust. The data is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License and the code is available under the MIT License.
Research Ideas
- Visualizing how a player's SPM changes over time, which could help coaches and managers make decisions about who to draft for their team.
- Conducting an analysis to determine if certain positions have greater potential to become superstars than others, based on the players’ projected SPMs and likelihood of becoming a Superstar, Starter, Role Player or Bust.
- Developing an algorithm to predict any given player's success rating given his Draft Year, Projected SPM and Position he plays in order to inform teams of his value when selecting new players during the Draft process
Acknowledgements
If you use this dataset in your research, please credit the original authors.
Data Source
License
License: CC0 1.0 Universal (CC0 1.0) - Public Domain Dedication
No Copyright - You can copy, modify, distribute and perform the work, even for commercial purposes, all without asking permission. See Other Information.
Columns
File: historical_projections.csv
Column name |
Description |
Player |
Name of the player. (String) |
Position |
Position of the player. (String) |
Draft Year |
Year the player was drafted. (Integer) |
Projected SPM |
Projected score per minute. (Float) |
Superstar |
Probability of the player becoming a superstar. (Float) |
Starter |
Probability of the player becoming a starter. (Float) |
Role Player |
Probability of the player becoming a role player. (Float) |
Bust |
Probability of the player becoming a bust. (Float) |
Acknowledgements
If you use this dataset in your research, please credit the original authors.
If you use this dataset in your research, please credit FiveThirtyEight.