COVID-19 Complete BG Dataset With Vaccinated

Context

Coronavirus infection is currently the most important health topic. It surely tested and continues to test to the fullest extent the healthcare systems around the world. Although big progress is made in handling this pandemic, a tremendous number of questions are needed to be answered. I hereby present to you the local Bulgarian COVID-19 dataset with some context. It could be used as a comparator because it stands out compared to other countries and deserves analysis.

Context for Bulgarian population:
Population - 6 948 445
Median age - 44.7 years
Aged >65 - 20.801 %
Aged >70 - 13.272%

Summary of the results:

• first pandemic wave was weak, probably because of the early state of emergency (5 days after the first confirmed case). Whether this was a good decision or it was too early and just postpone the inevitable is debatable.
  -healthcare system collapses (probably due to delayed measures) in the second and third waves which resulted in Bulgaria gaining the top ranks for mortality and morbidity tables worldwide and in the EU.
• low percentage of vaccinated people results in a prolonged epidemic and delaying the lifting of the preventive measures.

Some of the important moments that should be considered when interpreting the data:
08.03.2020 - Bulgaria confirmed its first two cases. The government issued a nationwide ban on closed-door public events (first lockdown);
13.03.2020- after 16 reported cases in one day, Bulgaria declared a state of emergency for one month until 13.04.2020. Schools, shopping centres, cinemas, restaurants, and other places of business were closed. All sports events were suspended. Only supermarkets, food markets, pharmacies, banks, and gas stations remain open.
03.04.2020 - The National Assembly approved the government's proposal to extend the state of emergency by one month until 13.05.2020;
14.05.2020 - the national emergency was lifted, and in its place was declared a state of an emergency epidemic situation. Schools and daycares remain closed, as well as shopping centers and indoor restaurants;
18.05.2020 - Shopping malls and fitness centers opened;
01.06.2020 - Restaurants and gaming halls opened;
10.07.2020 - discos and bars are closed, the sports events are without an audience;
29.10.2020 - High school and college students are transitioning to online learning;
27.11.2020 - the whole education is online, restaurants, nightclubs, bars, and discos are closed (second lockdown 27.11 - 21.12);
05.12.2020 - the 14-day mortality rate is the highest in the world;
16.01.2021 - some of the students went back to school;
01.03.2021 - restaurants and casinos opened;
22.03.2021 - restaurants, shopping malls, fitness centers, and schools are closed (third lockdown for 10 days - 22.03 - 31.03);
19.04.2021 - children daycare facilities, fitness centers, and nightclubs are opened;

Content

This dataset consists of 447 rows with 29 columns and covers the period 08.03.2020 - 28.05.2021. In the beginning, there are some missing values until the proper statistical report was established.

Inspiration

A publication proposal is sent to anyone who wishes to collaborate. Based on the results and the value of the findings and the relevance of the topic it is expected to publish:

• in a local journal (guaranteed);
• in a SCOPUS journal (highly probable);
• in an IF journal (if the results are really insightful).

The topics could be, but not limited to:

• descriptive analysis of the pandemic outbreak in the country;
• prediction of the pandemic or the vaccination rate;
• discussion about the numbers compared to other countries/world;
• discussion about the government decisions;
• estimating cut-off values for step-down or step-up of the restrictions.

Error or query reporting

If you find an error, have a question, or wish to make a suggestion, I encourage you to reach me.