Baselight

GOP Delegate Benchmarks For The 2024 Primary

Estimated Delegate Targets for Republican Presidential Candidates

@fivethirtyeight.gop_delegate_benchmarks_2024

Delegate Target Benchmarks By State
@fivethirtyeight.gop_delegate_benchmarks_2024.delegate_targets

Column Description
state_abb State or territory postal abbreviation
state_name Full name of the state or territory
vote_date Date of the GOP presidential primary, caucus, or convention in the state or territory
total_delegates Total number of delegates to the Republican National Convention from the state or territory
allocated Number of delegates that will be allocated based on the outcome of the vote
rules Rules governing how delegates are allocated in the state or territory
DeSantis Estimated number of delegates Ron DeSantis needed to win in that contest to stay on track for the nomination
Haley Estimated number of delegates Nikki Haley needed to win in that contest to stay on track for the nomination
Hutchinson Estimated number of delegates Asa Hutchinson needed to win in that contest to stay on track for the nomination
Ramaswamy Estimated number of delegates Vivek Ramaswamy needed to win in that contest to stay on track for the nomination
Trump Estimated number of delegates Donald Trump needed to win in that contest to stay on track for the nomination
model_date Date when the benchmark estimates were generated
  • 10.48 KB
  • 56 rows
  • 12 columns
state_abb

State Abb

state_name

State Name

vote_date

Vote Date

total_delegates

Total Delegates

allocated

Allocated

rules

Rules

desantis

DeSantis

haley

Haley

hutchinson

Hutchinson

ramaswamy

Ramaswamy

trump

Trump

model_date

Model Date

IAIowaMon Jan 15 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)4040Proportional2226332012Wed Jan 10 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
NHNew HampshireTue Jan 23 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)2222ProportionalNA22NANA7Mon Jan 22 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
NVNevadaThu Feb 08 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)2626ProportionalNANANA26Wed Jan 24 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
VIVirgin IslandsThu Feb 08 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)44WTA (RCV)NA4NANAWed Jan 24 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
SCSouth CarolinaSat Feb 24 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)5050WTANA50NANAFri Feb 09 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
MIMichiganTue Feb 27 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)5555ProportionalNA30NANA27Mon Feb 26 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
IDIdahoSat Mar 02 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)3232Proportional (WTA trigger)NA32NANAMon Feb 26 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
MOMissouriSat Mar 02 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)5454Proportional (WTA trigger) at state conventionNA23NANA28Mon Feb 26 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
DCDistrict of ColumbiaSun Mar 03 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)1919Proportional (WTA trigger)NA19NANAMon Feb 26 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)
NDNorth DakotaMon Mar 04 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)2929ProportionalNA20NANA13Mon Feb 26 2024 00:00:00 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

CREATE TABLE delegate_targets (
  "state_abb" VARCHAR,
  "state_name" VARCHAR,
  "vote_date" TIMESTAMP,
  "total_delegates" BIGINT,
  "allocated" BIGINT,
  "rules" VARCHAR,
  "desantis" VARCHAR,
  "haley" BIGINT,
  "hutchinson" VARCHAR,
  "ramaswamy" VARCHAR,
  "trump" BIGINT,
  "model_date" TIMESTAMP
);

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