Forecasted Basin-Average Accumulated Precipitation (GDPS - 168 Hrs / 240 Hrs)

This polygon layer presents 7‑day and 10‑day accumulated precipitation forecasts from the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS), aggregated by sub-basin. It is designed to help hydrologists, water resource managers, and emergency planners pinpoint watersheds facing higher rainfall or snowfall totals in the medium-to-long range, enabling proactive flood risk assessment, drought monitoring, and resource allocation.

Developed by Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), the GDPS is a global numerical weather prediction model running at approximately 15km resolution, updated twice daily (00Z and 12Z). This layer integrates 168-hour (7‑day) and 240-hour (10‑day) precipitation forecasts into sub-basin polygons, offering a comprehensive view of expected cumulative precipitation. By focusing on watershed boundaries, decision-makers can quickly gauge regional vulnerabilities to prolonged rainfall or snowfall events.Key highlights: Global Model Insight: Captures large-scale, multi-day weather systems (e.g., atmospheric rivers, persistent low-pressure systems). Sub-Basin Aggregation: Delivers averaged precip values per basin, simplifying hydrological analysis for flood or drought outlooks. Extended Outlook: Spanning from day 0 to day 10, covers both medium- and longer-term forecast horizons, essential for strategic planning and mitigation efforts. Typical Uses:Flood Forecasting – Identifying basins prone to heavy or prolonged precipitation. Water Resource Management – Adjusting reservoir release schedules or irrigation planning based on expected accumulations. Emergency Preparedness – Deploying resources or issuing advisories in vulnerable watersheds.

Organization: Government of Manitoba | Gouvernement du Manitoba

Last modified: 2026-03-25T11:31:24.072695