Canada’s Energy Future 2026: Energy Supply And Demand Projections To 2050

Canada’s Energy Future 2026: Energy Supply and Demand Projections to 2050 is the latest long-term energy outlook from the Canada Energy Regulator (CER). The Canada’s Energy Future series explores how possible energy futures might unfold for Canadians over the long term, building on decades of economic and energy modelling and analysis. Our scenarios cover all energy commodities and all Canadian provinces and territories. This scenario analysis explores future uncertainties facing the energy system. This report includes four scenarios to explore Canada’s energy outlook. One of these is Current Measures, a traditional baseline scenario. To explore uncertainty in energy and economic drivers, we introduce two new symmetrical scenarios that bracket the Current Measures scenario: the Higher scenario and Lower scenario. These scenarios examine outcomes if key drivers of Canada’s energy system—specifically, Canadian gross domestic product (GDP) growth, liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports, data centre electricity demand, and global oil and natural gas prices—trend higher or lower than in Current Measures. We also updated the Canada Net-zero scenario, first introduced in Canada’s Energy Future 2023. Compared to the first three scenarios, that do not have a pre-determined end point, the Canada Net-zero scenario begins with a predetermined end point of net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions for Canada by 2050—exploring what a pathway to that end point could look like.

Organization: Canada Energy Regulator | La Régie de l’énergie du Canada

Last modified: 2026-05-07T19:11:49.944521