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Aston Villa beat Liverpool 4–2 as heavy underdogs — bookmakers got it badly wrong
- Aston Villa beat Liverpool 4–2 at Villa Park despite every major bookmaker pricing Liverpool as clear favourites and Villa as outsiders
- Villa were priced at 3.30–3.45 (10Bet, William Hill, Pinnacle) while Liverpool were 1.90–2.02; Villa scored four from 14 shots with only 45% possession while Liverpool had 55% of the ball and 15 shots but conceded four
- The result flips the top-four picture: Villa (62 pts, 37 played) now lead Liverpool (59 pts, 37 played) by three points with one game left for both
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Conclusion
Match result: home_score 4, away_score 2, date 2026-05-15. Pre-match odds: 10Bet home 3.45/away 1.90, William Hill home 3.30/away 1.95, Pinnacle home 3.33/away 2.02. Match stats: Villa possession 45%, total shots 14, shots on goal 9; Liverpool possession 55%, total shots 15, shots on goal 5. Standings snapshot 2026-05-15: Villa 4th (62 pts, 37 played), Liverpool 5th (59 pts, 37 played). Both have one game left on 24 May.