Nottingham Forest Score 13 Goals From 5.16 xG in Last 4 Wins — 7.84-Goal Surplus
Forest's 5-0 demolition of Sunderland (1.30 xG) capped a four-game winning streak in which they scored 13 goals from just 5.16 combined xG — a 7.84-goal surplus. Their season total is 41 goals from 38.45 xG across 34 games, meaning the overperformance is almost entirely concentrated in this recent run.
Supporting 8 queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 8 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Forest's last 4 wins: vs Sunderland 5-0 (1.30 xG), vs Burnley 4-1 (1.18 xG), vs Tottenham 3-0 (1.48 xG), vs Leeds 3-1 (1.20 xG). Combined: 13 goals from 5.16 xG (+7.84). Season total: 41 goals, 38.45 xG, 34 matches. Forest: 39 pts, 34 played, 8 clear of the relegation zone.