Anomaly03SOCCER2026-04-26

Nottingham Forest Score 13 Goals From 5.16 xG in Last 4 Wins — 7.84-Goal Surplus

Forest's 5-0 demolition of Sunderland (1.30 xG) capped a four-game winning streak in which they scored 13 goals from just 5.16 combined xG — a 7.84-goal surplus. Their season total is 41 goals from 38.45 xG across 34 games, meaning the overperformance is almost entirely concentrated in this recent run.

Supporting datasets

Ultimate Soccer Dataset

Players, teams, matches, stats, and so much more from the world of football

17 tables1.88 GB

Jun 13, 2026

17480

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 8 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Forest's last 4 wins: vs Sunderland 5-0 (1.30 xG), vs Burnley 4-1 (1.18 xG), vs Tottenham 3-0 (1.48 xG), vs Leeds 3-1 (1.20 xG). Combined: 13 goals from 5.16 xG (+7.84). Season total: 41 goals, 38.45 xG, 34 matches. Forest: 39 pts, 34 played, 8 clear of the relegation zone.