Liverpool Win 3-1 vs Crystal Palace on 0.91 xG — Palace Generated 2.32 xG and Still Lost
Liverpool beat Crystal Palace 3-1 with just 0.91 xG — their joint-second-lowest xG in any Premier League win this season — while Palace created 2.32 xG from 14 shots and 7 on target. Liverpool's season average xG is 2.05 across 130 tracked matches, meaning today they scored three times from fewer than one expected goal.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 6 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Liverpool xG today: 0.91 (9 shots, 3 on target). Crystal Palace xG today: 2.32 (14 shots, 7 on target). Liverpool season average xG: 2.05 across 130 match-stat observations. This is Liverpool's 2nd-lowest xG in a win this season. Crystal Palace have now generated 1.7+ xG in four of their last ten PL games without winning. Liverpool: 58 pts, 34 played.