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Divergence02SOCCER2026-04-26

Liverpool Win 3-1 vs Crystal Palace on 0.91 xG — Palace Generated 2.32 xG and Still Lost

Liverpool beat Crystal Palace 3-1 with just 0.91 xG — their joint-second-lowest xG in any Premier League win this season — while Palace created 2.32 xG from 14 shots and 7 on target. Liverpool's season average xG is 2.05 across 130 tracked matches, meaning today they scored three times from fewer than one expected goal.

Supporting 6 queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 6 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Liverpool xG today: 0.91 (9 shots, 3 on target). Crystal Palace xG today: 2.32 (14 shots, 7 on target). Liverpool season average xG: 2.05 across 130 match-stat observations. This is Liverpool's 2nd-lowest xG in a win this season. Crystal Palace have now generated 1.7+ xG in four of their last ten PL games without winning. Liverpool: 58 pts, 34 played.

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