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Divergence07SOCCER2026-04-23

Rapid Vienna Generate 2.06 xG With 61% Possession — Then Lose 0-2 to Bottom-Half Hartberg

Rapid Vienna's 0-2 home defeat to TSV Hartberg on April 22 is a textbook xG inversion: Rapid dominated possession (61%), generated 2.06 xG from 14 shots, yet scored zero, while Hartberg produced just 4 shots and 0.41 xG but converted twice. The result leaves Rapid 4th in the Austrian Bundesliga on 24 points (28 played), 5 points behind leaders Sturm Graz, and represents the widest xG-to-goals divergence in the Austrian Bundesliga in April 2026.

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Conclusion

Rapid Vienna xG (Apr 22): 2.06 from 14 shots, 61% possession. Hartberg xG: 0.41 from 4 shots. Result: 0-2. Austrian Bundesliga standings (Apr 22): Sturm Graz 1st (29 pts, 28 played), Rapid Vienna 4th (24 pts, 28 played). Both teams have played 28 games. Hartberg sub-0.6 xG wins this season: 3 instances.

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