Burnley Generate Just 0.78 xG Per Game Since February — 20 Points in 34 Matches, Relegation Certain
Burnley's 0-1 home loss to Manchester City on April 22 — generating just 0.57 xG from 9 shots against a team priced as short as 1.14 — crystallises the worst attacking season in the current Premier League dataset. Across 11 games since February 1, Burnley have accumulated only 8.61 total xG (0.78/game), sitting on 20 points from 34 matches with a goal difference of -34, just 3 points above bottom-placed Wolves with 4 games left.
Supporting 13 queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 13 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Burnley xG vs Man City (Apr 22): 0.57 from 9 shots. Burnley xG Feb 1–Apr 22 (11 games): 8.61 total, 0.78/game. Full-season xG: 28.7 across 34 games. Goals scored: 34 (standings). Burnley: 20 pts, 34 played, 4W 8D 22L, GD -34. Wolves: 17 pts, 33 played. Burnley home odds: 12–17 (Bet365).