Real Madrid Win 2-1 vs Alaves Despite Being Outperformed on xG 1.63 to 2.11 — Cut Barcelona's Lead to 6 Points
Real Madrid beat Alaves 2-1 yesterday despite generating just 1.63 xG to Alaves's 2.11 — the third time this season they have won a La Liga match while being outperformed on xG (3 wins from 6 such games). The win cuts the gap to Barcelona to 6 points with Real Madrid having played one more game, keeping the title race live with their documented ability to win games the underlying numbers say they shouldn't.
Supporting 10 queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 10 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Real Madrid 2-1 Alaves: RM xG 1.63, Alaves xG 2.11, Alaves 19 shots, RM 24 shots (match_stats Apr 21). Season: 3 wins from 6 games where opponent xG was higher. RM: 23 wins in 32 La Liga games, 67 goals scored. Standings Apr 21: Barcelona 79 pts/31 games, Real Madrid 73 pts/32 games — gap of 6 points.