Guadalajara Chivas Score 5 from 1.21 xG vs Puebla — 33 Goals in 15 Liga MX Games Is a Dataset Record at This Stage
Guadalajara Chivas beat Puebla 5-0 with 68% possession and 16 shots but generated only 1.21 xG — overperforming their expected output by 3.79 goals in a single match. Their season tally of 33 goals in 15 games (2.20 per game) is the highest goals-per-game rate for any Liga MX team at the 15-game mark in the entire dataset, raising serious sustainability questions for the run-in.
Supporting 8 queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 8 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Chivas vs Puebla: Chivas xG 1.21, score 5-0 (overperformance: +3.79 goals); Chivas possession 68%, shots 16; Puebla xG 0.24, shots 4. Chivas season: 33 goals in 15 games (2.20/game), highest in Liga MX dataset at 15 games, surpassing Toluca's 41 goals in 17 games (2025) and Leon's 41 in 17 (2018). Chivas lead Liga MX by 3pts over Pachuca (34pts vs 31pts), 11W, 1D, 3L. Pre-match odds: Chivas 1.22–1.30 (Bet365/William Hill). Data from match_stats (match_id: 8cce3417) and standings 2026-04-19.