Penarol Lose at Home to Platense as 1.33 Favourites — Outperformed on xG 1.08 to 0.56 in Libertadores Shock
Penarol were beaten 1-2 at home by Platense in the CONMEBOL Libertadores despite being priced as heavy favourites at 1.33, with Platense at 3.00–3.25. The xG story is damning: Penarol generated just 0.56 xG from 9 shots while Platense created 1.08 xG from only 5 shots. Penarol also finished with a red card and 5 yellow cards, and the home defeat is a severe early blow to their 2026 Libertadores qualification ambitions.
Supporting 5 queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 5 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Penarol xG: 0.56 (9 shots), Platense xG: 1.08 (5 shots) (match_stats, match_id 59f47f0e). Penarol odds: 1.30–1.36 home, Platense 3.00–3.25 away (match_betting_odds, multiple bookmakers). Penarol: 1 red card, 5 yellow cards. Platense GK saves: 4. Only Penarol's second Libertadores group-stage match of 2026.