SC Freiburg Win 3-1 at Celta Vigo Despite Being Outshot and Outpossessed — A Recurring UEL Pattern
SC Freiburg beat Celta Vigo 3-1 in Vigo despite being outshot 15-9, outpossessed 56-44%, and generating just 1.07 xG against Celta's 1.23. This is not a one-off: Freiburg have now won multiple UEL matches this season where their xG was below 1.5, consistently over-converting limited chances at elite European level.
Supporting 9 queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 9 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Freiburg xG 1.07, Celta xG 1.23; Freiburg 9 shots vs Celta 15; Celta 56% possession, 6 corners vs 3; result 3-1 to Freiburg; Bet365 away odds 3.7–4.1; Freiburg UEL away record this season: 2W/2D/2L, 7 goals for, 5 against; also won 3-0 vs Celta first leg with only 1.56 xG.