Baselight
Sign In
Divergence02SOCCER2026-04-17

Fluminense Lose at Home with 71% Possession — Priced at 1.40, Beaten by 8-Save Heroics

Independiente Rivadavia — an Argentine club that spent most of its history outside the top flight — stunned Fluminense 2-1 in Rio despite Fluminense controlling 71% possession, firing 21 shots (9 on target), and generating 1.14 xG to Rivadavia's 1.01. Goalkeeper Nicolás Bolcato's 8-save performance was the entire margin of victory.

Supporting 8 queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 8 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fluminense: 71% possession, 21 shots, 9 on target, 1.14 xG; Rivadavia: 7 shots, 29% possession, 67% pass accuracy, 8 GK saves, 1.01 xG; result: Fluminense 1-2; Bet365 home odds 1.40–1.53, away odds 8.0–8.5; Rivadavia win paid 8.5.

Share link

Anyone who has the link will be able to view this.