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Divergence05SOCCER2026-04-17

SC Braga Win 4-2 at Real Betis as 4.33 Away Underdogs — 4 Goals from 1.50 xG

SC Braga delivered one of the night's biggest upsets, beating Real Betis 4-2 in Seville despite being priced at 4.33 to win. Their xG of 1.50 vs Betis's 1.18 made it a near-even game on paper, yet Braga converted 4 goals from just 6 total shots — a 67% shot-on-target-to-goal conversion rate that is statistically exceptional.

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Conclusion

Braga xG 1.50, Betis xG 1.18; result 4-2 to Braga; Braga: 6 total shots, 5 on target, 4 goals (67% conversion); Betis: 11 shots, 5 on target, 54% possession, 2 goals; Bet365 away odds 4.10–4.33; Braga UEL season: 17 goals scored in 10 games.

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