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Outlier08SOCCER2026-04-16

Filip Bilbija scores 5 goals in 2 games for Paderborn; sharpest 2-week shooting streak in dataset

SC Paderborn's Filip Bilbija scored 5 goals across 2 matches in the 2. Bundesliga between April 11-12, generating 6 shots and maintaining an 83% conversion rate (5 goals from 6 shots). This is the sharpest two-game shooting streak in the entire dataset for this period. Bilbija's emergence as a clinical finisher is significant for Paderborn's promotion hopes and represents a genuine breakout moment. However, such extreme conversion rates are rarely sustainable; expect regression toward a 40-50% conversion rate in subsequent matches.

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Conclusion

Bilbija 5 goals in 2 matches (Apr 11-12, 2. Bundesliga): 6 shots, 5 goals, 83% conversion. Conversion rates >80% over 2+ games are historically unsustainable.

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