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Anomaly10SOCCER2026-04-15

Toulouse loses 0-4 to Lille; concedes 1.84 xG on just 37% possession

Toulouse's April 12 loss to Lille (0-4) represents a tactical collapse: despite 37% possession, Toulouse conceded 1.84 xG and 4 goals, a conversion rate of 2.17 goals per xG unit. Lille's 63% possession and 0.96 xG-to-goal ratio (4 goals from 1.84 xG) suggests both teams were clinical, but Toulouse's defensive structure completely broke down. This 4-goal defeat is Toulouse's heaviest loss in recent weeks and indicates potential relegation danger.

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Conclusion

April 12 Toulouse 0-4 Lille (37% possession, 0.96 xG vs 1.84 xG). Heaviest recent loss; lowest possession figure in Toulouse's recent fixture list. Toulouse's inability to contain Lille's attacking play despite defending in a compact 37% possession shape suggests systemic defensive issues that could accelerate their relegation risk.

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