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Gremio's winless away form offers value on Mirassol at home
- Mirassol faces Gremio at home in a Brazilian Serie A matchup where the market appears to undervalue the home side.\n- Gremio is completely winless away from home with a 0-4-5 record, while Mirassol's home win odds of 2.25 to 2.34 imply a 42.7% to 44.4% probability.\n- This represents a strong value opportunity for bettors as Gremio's severe road struggles are not fully reflected in the pricing.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 9 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the standings snapshot on 2026-06-03, Gremio is in 16th place with 21 points in 18 matches, while Mirassol is in 19th place with 16 points in 17 matches (having a game in hand). Gremio has played 9 away matches in Serie A 2026, with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, scoring only 5 goals and conceding 12. Mirassol's home record is 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Pre-match home win odds are 2.34 (1xBet), 2.27 (Marathonbet), and 2.25 (Bet365). Gremio's persistent struggles on the road make Mirassol's home price of 2.25-2.34 a compelling signal for review.