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Arbitrage on San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra goals market
- Bookmakers have mispriced the goals market for the upcoming Copa Argentina match between San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra.
- Over 1.5 goals is priced at 1.67 by Bet365 and Betano while Under 1.5 goals is 2.63 by Unibet, creating a 2.10% risk-free arbitrage margin.
- This pricing discrepancy allows bettors to guarantee a profit regardless of the match outcome by distributing stakes across different platforms.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 6 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
For the Copa Argentina fixture between San Lorenzo and Deportivo Riestra on 2026-07-17, a 2-way arbitrage opportunity exists in the Goals Over/Under 1.5 market based on pre-match odds collected on 2026-07-09. Over 1.5 goals is available at 1.67 (Bet365, Betano), yielding an implied probability of 59.88%. Under 1.5 goals is available at 2.63 (Unibet), yielding an implied probability of 38.02%. The sum of these implied probabilities is 97.90%, which is below the 100% threshold and produces an arbitrage margin of 2.10%. A total of 6 bookmakers were compared in this snapshot (10Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Marathonbet, and Unibet). This signal highlights a material pre-match pricing mismatch across different bookmaker platforms that is worth reviewing before kickoff.