Baselight is shutting down June 30.
Export any data that you want to keep. Read the announcement.
Struggling Rosenborg priced as heavy home favorites against Kristiansund BK
- Recent performance metrics suggest the market is overvaluing Rosenborg in their home fixture against Kristiansund BK.
- Bookmakers have priced Rosenborg as heavy favorites with home win odds as low as 1.57, representing a 63.7% implied probability.
- This heuristic mismatch conflicts with Rosenborg's current 15th-place standing and weak scoring record, making this selection worth review on July 12.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK (Eliteserien, 2026-07-12). Market: Match Winner, Selection: Home (Rosenborg) win. Available odds: 1.57 (SBO) to 1.65 (1xBet) across 13 bookmakers. Standings: Rosenborg (15th, 9 pts, 11 matches played); Kristiansund BK (14th, 11 pts, 11 matches played). Statistical baseline: Rosenborg is in 15th place out of 16 teams. They have won only 1 of their last 6 matches (D-L-L-W-L-D) and have scored only 9 goals in 11 matches this season (0.82 goals per match). Rosenborg has won only 2 of their 6 home fixtures (2W-2D-2L). Kristiansund BK is 2 points ahead of Rosenborg.