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Bookmakers diverge on over 2.5 goals odds for Portugal vs Spain
- SBO offers an outlier price of 2.03 on Over 2.5 goals for the Portugal vs Spain World Cup clash.
- The market consensus sits at 1.81, making SBO's price 11.97% higher than the average of other bookmakers.
- This large divergence suggests a potential pricing mismatch on the expected goal volume of this fixture.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 2 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: Portugal vs Spain (World Cup) on 2026-07-06 19:00:00 UTC. Market: Goals Over/Under, Selection: Over 2.5 goals. Outlier bookmaker: SBO at 2.03. Comparison set of 10 other bookmakers: Unibet (1.87), Pinnacle (1.84), 1xBet (1.84), 10Bet (1.83), Betano (1.83), Marathonbet (1.81), Bet365 (1.80), Betfair (1.80), BetVictor (1.76), 888Sport (1.75). Consensus average: 1.813. Divergence: (2.03 / 1.813 - 1) * 100 = 11.97% above consensus. Range: 1.75 to 2.03. Odds freshness: collected on 2026-07-05.