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Soccer Odds
July 4, 2026
Anomaly01SOCCER-ODDS
Pre-match odds create a 0.69% arbitrage opportunity on Paraguay vs France World Cup clash
- Paraguay and France are set to play in a World Cup match where bookmakers have mispriced the odds.
- Combining Betfair's Paraguay win at 21.00, 1xBet's draw at 7.95, and Betano's France win at 1.22 yields a combined implied probability of 99.31%.
- This creates a risk-free 0.69% arbitrage opportunity for bettors who distribute their stakes across these three bookmakers.
Cross-Signal02SOCCER-ODDS
Flawless Mexico priced as heavy underdogs against England in World Cup Round of 16
- Mexico is priced as a heavy underdog against England in their upcoming World Cup Round of 16 match despite a perfect tournament run.
- Mexico has won all 4 of their matches with 8 goals scored and 0 conceded, yet bookmakers offer their win at odds as high as 3.20.
- This represents a significant mismatch between on-field performance and market pricing, offering high value on the underdog.
Outlier03SOCCER-ODDS
BK Hacken unbeaten at home, but Djurgardens offers value despite recent losses
- BK Hacken is undefeated this season with 20 points while Djurgardens has lost their last 2 matches, yet bookmakers offer Hacken at odds up to 2.55.
- BK Hacken's recent form (5-5-0, 3 wins in last 4) contrasts with Djurgardens' mixed record (4-1-4), presenting a form-based value signal.
- Historically, Djurgardens has performed well in away matches and against Hacken, warranting caution on the strength of the odds divergence.
Divergence04SOCCER-ODDS
Betfair offers higher draw odds on IFK Goteborg vs AIK Stockholm than market consensus
- Bookmaker Betfair is offering draw odds of 3.75 on the Swedish Allsvenskan match between IFK Goteborg and AIK Stockholm.
- Betfair's draw price of 3.75 is 8.38% higher than the market consensus of 3.46 across 13 bookmakers (with Unibet listing the lowest odds at 3.15).
- IFK Goteborg and AIK have drawn 5 of 9 home/away splits (55.6%), though their last 4 direct meetings produced no draws.