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Possible 1x2 arbitrage on Belgium vs Senegal World Cup clash
- Pre-match odds on Belgium vs Senegal create a mathematical arbitrage opportunity using the best available prices.
- A combined implied probability sum of 98.62% yields an arbitrage margin of 1.38% across checked bookmakers.
- This represents a cautious market alignment signal for human review; odds are subject to rapid change before kickoff.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 2 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: Belgium vs Senegal on 2026-07-01 (20:00 UTC). Best Home win odds: 2.27 at Betano (implied probability: 44.05%). Best Draw odds: 3.54 at 1xBet (implied probability: 28.25%). Best Away win odds: 3.80 at Betano (implied probability: 26.32%). Total implied probability: 44.05% + 28.25% + 26.32% = 98.62%. Arbitrage margin: 1.38%. Number of bookmakers checked: 12 (including Bet365, Pinnacle, Unibet, Betfair, Marathonbet, SBO, BetVictor, William Hill). Odds freshness: Inferred from fixture date (2026-07-01) and available pre-match odds in the dataset. This signal is relevant today as it highlights a clear pre-match pricing discrepancy between sportsbooks before kickoff.