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High-flying TPS Turku offered at generous underdog odds at struggling SJK
- 7th-placed TPS Turku is offered at generous odds of 5.07 despite being 8 points ahead of 10th-placed SJK.
- SJK has struggled at home this season, winning only once in 6 home matches and losing 3 times.
- The market prices SJK as a heavy 1.80 favorite, which appears to overvalue them based on season-long form.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 2 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: SJK vs TPS Turku on 2026-07-04 (14:00 UTC). Selection: Away win (TPS Turku). Available Odds: Away win up to 5.07 (Pinnacle), Draw up to 4.15 (Pinnacle), Home win up to 1.80 (Unibet). Stats context: SJK is 10th in standings (11 points, 13 played). Home record: 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, scoring 7 goals and conceding 8. TPS Turku is 7th in standings (19 points, 13 played). Away record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, scoring 4 goals and conceding 7. Although TPS Turku has not won an away match, they are 8 points ahead of SJK in the table. SJK's poor home record (1 win in 6 matches) and overall form (only 2 wins in 13 matches) suggest that the market's heavy pricing of SJK at 1.80 (55.6% implied probability) compared to TPS Turku at 5.07 (19.7%) is worth review.