Baselight is shutting down June 30.
Export any data that you want to keep. Read the announcement.

Baselight
Sign In

Mathematical arbitrage opportunity on Netherlands vs Morocco World Cup clash

  • Pre-match odds on the Netherlands vs Morocco World Cup clash create a risk-free arbitrage opportunity across different bookmakers.
  • Combining Betano's home odds (2.18), 1xBet's draw odds (3.44), and Unibet's away odds (4.10) yields a total implied probability of 99.33%, leaving a 0.67% profit margin.
  • This allows bettors to guarantee a profit regardless of the match outcome by distributing stakes proportionally across these three bookmakers.

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 2 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fixture: Netherlands vs Morocco (World Cup, 2026-06-30 01:00:00 UTC). Best Home win odds: 2.18 (Betano) -> Implied probability: 45.87%. Best Draw odds: 3.44 (1xBet) -> Implied probability: 29.07%. Best Away win odds: 4.10 (Unibet) -> Implied probability: 24.39%. Total implied probability: 99.33% (Arbitrage margin: 0.67%). Number of bookmakers checked: 12. Odds freshness: collected on 2026-06-28.

Share link

Anyone who has the link will be able to view this.