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Pre-match odds on Norway vs France create 8.40% arbitrage opportunity

  • Best available pre-match 1X2 odds across bookmakers create a risk-balanced mathematical arbitrage opportunity in the Norway vs France World Cup fixture on June 26, 2026.
  • Best odds are 5.60 for Norway win (Unibet), 4.80 for a draw (1xBet), and 1.89 for France win (1xBet).
  • The combined implied probability sum is 91.60%, creating a mathematical arbitrage margin of 8.40% for review.

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 5 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fixture: Norway vs France (World Cup, June 26, 2026, 19:00 UTC). Market: Match Winner / Match Result (pre-match). Best odds: Home (Norway) 5.60 at Unibet; Draw 4.80 at 1xBet; Away (France) 1.89 at 1xBet. Implied probabilities: Home = 1 / 5.60 = 17.86%; Draw = 1 / 4.80 = 20.83%; Away = 1 / 1.89 = 52.91%. Total implied probability: 17.86% + 20.83% + 52.91% = 91.60%. Arbitrage margin: 100% - 91.60% = 8.40%. Comparison set: 13 bookmakers checked (including Unibet, 1xBet, Pinnacle, Bet365, Marathonbet, Betfair, Betano, William Hill, BetVictor, Dafabet, SBO, 10Bet, 888Sport). Odds freshness note: Odds are pre-match values queried from the live database on 2026-06-26.

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