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Possible 1X2 arbitrage in Tunisia vs Netherlands World Cup fixture
- Pre-match odds on the Tunisia vs Netherlands World Cup fixture have diverged significantly across bookmakers.
- A 6.20% arbitrage opportunity exists with best odds of 11.00 on Tunisia, 5.41 on the Draw, and 1.51 on Netherlands.
- This allows bettors to lock in a guaranteed profit regardless of the match outcome by placing proportional bets across different platforms.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 3 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: Tunisia vs Netherlands on 2026-06-25. Best odds: Home 11.00 (10Bet, implied 9.09%), Draw 5.41 (1xBet, implied 18.48%), Away 1.51 (Dafabet, implied 66.23%). Total implied probability: 9.09% + 18.48% + 66.23% = 93.80%, yielding a 6.20% arbitrage margin. Comparison set: 12 bookmakers. Dafabet's 1.51 on Netherlands is 13.39% above the 1.33 consensus. Standings: Tunisia (0 pts, 1 played), Netherlands (1 pt, 1 played). Freshness: Pre-match odds collected on 2026-06-18. This signal is highly relevant today as bookmakers adjust lines following Tunisia's 1-5 loss to Sweden and Netherlands' 2-2 draw with Japan in their respective opening group matches.