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Possible 1X2 arbitrage in South Africa vs South Korea World Cup fixture
- A potential pre-match arbitrage opportunity has emerged in the Match Winner market for the South Africa vs South Korea World Cup fixture.
- Combining the best odds across bookmakers yields an implied probability sum of 96.97%, representing a guaranteed 3.03% profit margin.
- This mathematical discrepancy allows bettors to lock in a risk-free return regardless of the match outcome.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 5 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Pre-match odds collected on June 12, 2026, for the June 25 World Cup fixture reveal a mathematical arbitrage. The best available odds are: South Africa to win at 5.10 (Unibet), Draw at 3.76 (1xBet), and South Korea to win at 1.97 (Dafabet). Converting these to implied probabilities gives: Home (19.61%), Draw (26.60%), and Away (50.76%). The sum of these implied probabilities is 96.97%, creating a pre-match arbitrage margin of 3.03% across 12 compared bookmakers. Dafabet's away price of 1.97 is a major outlier compared to the consensus away price of 1.74 (e.g., 1.70 at Bet365 and 1.69 at Pinnacle). This mismatch may stem from delayed odds updates and warrants verification before execution.