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Outlier draw price on Netherlands vs Uzbekistan friendly
- 1xBet has posted an unusually high price on a draw for the upcoming international friendly between the Netherlands and Uzbekistan.
- The outlier odds of 6.81 are 18.33% higher than the market consensus of 5.75, representing an implied probability of 14.69% versus the consensus of 17.39%.
- This pricing discrepancy follows the Netherlands' recent 1-0 loss to Algeria and Uzbekistan's mixed recent form, including a 2-0 defeat to Canada on June 2.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the June 8 friendly, 1xBet offers 6.81 on the Draw, a clear outlier compared to the consensus of 5.75 from 11 bookmakers (William Hill is lowest at 5.00, Pinnacle is 5.99). Implied probability of 6.81 is 14.69% vs consensus 17.39%. Netherlands lost 1-0 to Algeria on June 3. Uzbekistan's recent record shows a 2-0 loss to Canada on June 2, a 2-2 draw with China in January, and a 2-2 draw with Iran in World Cup qualifying. Kickoff is at 18:45 UTC today.