Baselight is shutting down June 30.
Export any data that you want to keep. Read the announcement.

Baselight
Sign In

Possible 1x2 arbitrage in Paraguay vs Nicaragua friendly

  • Potential arbitrage opportunity in the Paraguay vs Nicaragua international friendly Match Winner market
  • Best available odds are 1.14 for a Paraguay home win (Betano), 14.6 for a draw (1xBet), and 50.0 for a Nicaragua away win (1xBet)
  • The sum of implied probabilities is 96.57%, creating a potential arbitrage margin of 3.43% for human review

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 4 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fixture: Paraguay vs Nicaragua on 2026-06-05. Market: Match Winner. Best Home win: 1.14 at Betano (implied probability: 87.72%). Best Draw: 14.6 at 1xBet (implied probability: 6.85%). Best Away win: 50.0 at 1xBet (implied probability: 2.00%). Total implied probability sum: 87.72% + 6.85% + 2.00% = 96.57%, yielding an arbitrage margin of 3.43%. Number of bookmakers checked in the comparison: 11. Odds collected on 2026-06-05. This signal represents a possible pre-match pricing mismatch across bookmakers.

Share link

Anyone who has the link will be able to view this.