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Possible 1x2 arbitrage in Scotland vs Curaçao international friendly
- A potential 1x2 arbitrage opportunity exists across 10Bet, 1xBet, and Betano pre-match odds for the Scotland vs Curaçao friendly.
- The sum of the best implied probabilities is 97.53%, representing an arbitrage margin of 2.47% with Betano pricing a Curaçao win at 18.50.
- This market discrepancy enables risk-free returns for bettors who exploit the pricing differences between these bookmakers.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 1 query across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the international friendly on May 30, 2026, the best pre-match odds across 11 bookmakers are 1.25 for a Scotland home win (10Bet), 8.25 for a draw (1xBet), and 18.50 for a Curaçao away win (Betano). This yields implied probabilities of 80.00% (1/1.25), 12.12% (1/8.25), and 5.41% (1/18.50), summing to 97.53% (a 2.47% margin). Betano's 18.50 odds are a major outlier compared to the 14.59 consensus, where the lowest is 9.50 (10Bet) and the next highest is 17.00 (1xBet). 1xBet's draw odds of 8.25 are also an outlier, 29.26% above the 6.38 draw consensus (lowest is 5.20 at 10Bet). Odds freshness is inferred from the pre-match collection date of May 29, 2026.