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Undefeated home side Chongqing priced as heavy underdogs vs Beijing Guoan
- Undefeated home side Chongqing Tongliang Long is priced as a heavy underdog against struggling Beijing Guoan.
- Betfair offers 1.80 on the Chongqing Home/Draw double chance, implying only a 55.6% probability of them avoiding defeat.
- This represents a notable mismatch given Chongqing's undefeated home record of three wins and three draws this season.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 5 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
In the Chinese Super League match on 2026-05-30, 13th-placed Beijing Guoan (12 points, 14 played, 4W, 5D, 5L) is priced as the favorite away at 2nd-placed Chongqing Tongliang Long (20 points, 12 played, 5W, 5D, 2L). Chongqing is undefeated at home this season with a 3W, 3D, 0L record, while Beijing Guoan is mediocre away (2W, 3D, 2L). Betfair offers 1.80 on the Chongqing Home/Draw double chance (implied probability of 55.6%), which conflicts with Chongqing's 100% undefeated home rate.