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Possible 1x2 arbitrage signal in Celta Vigo vs Sevilla — La Liga, 0.88% margin
- The Match Winner market for Celta Vigo vs Sevilla (La Liga, 23 May) shows a possible arbitrage: best home 1xBet 1.91 + best draw Unibet 3.85 + best away Pinnacle 4.81 produces a combined implied probability of 99.12%, leaving a margin of 0.88 percentage points.
- Across 14 bookmakers checked (odds collected 21 May 2026), no single bookmaker covers all three legs at these prices — the signal requires multi-book execution.
- Odds freshness cannot be guaranteed at execution time; bookmaker account restrictions and line movement are material risks that can eliminate the margin before a position is established.
Supporting datasets
Supporting queries
To surface this insight, Baselight ran 7 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.
Conclusion
Fixture: Celta Vigo vs Sevilla, La Liga, 23 May 2026, 19:00 UTC. Market: Match Winner. Best home: 1xBet 1.91 → implied 52.36%. Best draw: Unibet 3.85 → implied 25.97%. Best away: Pinnacle 4.81 → implied 20.79%. Total implied probability: 99.12%. Arbitrage margin: +0.88%. 14 bookmakers checked. Odds collected 21 May 2026 (daily snapshot). Standings: Celta Vigo 6th in La Liga (51 pts, 37 played); Sevilla 13th (43 pts, 37 played).