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Divergence04SOCCER-ODDS2026-05-20

SBO prices Brighton vs Man United draw and away 12% below consensus — double outlier

  • For Brighton vs Manchester United (Premier League, 24 May), SBO offers the Draw at **3.42** and the Away win (Man United) at **3.08** — both the lowest prices available, sitting **-12.7%** and **-11.9%** below their respective 13-bookmaker consensus values
  • Manchester United have won 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches (including home wins over Liverpool 3-2 and Nottingham Forest 3-2); Brighton lost their most recent league game 1-0 at Leeds
  • The double-sided SBO discount on both United-related outcomes is the primary signal — worth checking whether it reflects a genuine book position or a stale line

Supporting queries

To surface this insight, Baselight ran 6 queries across its structured data. Each one is reproducible — open it, read the SQL, and rerun it yourself.

Conclusion

Fixture: Brighton vs Manchester United, Premier League, 24 May 2026 15:00 UTC. Status: Not Started. Odds snapshot: 2026-05-19. SBO Draw = 3.42; 13-book consensus avg = 3.918; divergence = -12.7%. SBO Away = 3.08; consensus avg = 3.495; divergence = -11.9%. Best Draw: 1xBet @ 4.16. Best Away: 1xBet/Bet365 @ 3.70. Home (Brighton): best 1xBet @ 1.98, lowest 10Bet @ 1.90. 13 bookmakers. Man United last 5 PL: W-W-W-D-W (scored 9, conceded 7). Brighton last 5 PL: L-W-W-W-D.

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