Live Risk Score Table
| signal | value | unit | as_of | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| World CPI YoY (IMF) | 4.35 | % | 2026-M03 | 🟡 Elevated |
| BAA Credit Spread (FRED) | 1.5 | % | 2026-06-17 | 🟢 Contained |
| 10Y–2Y Yield Curve (FRED) | 0.27 | % | 2026-06-18 | 🟠 Watch |
| 5Y Breakeven Inflation (FRED) | 2.27 | % | 2026-06-18 | 🟠 Watch |
| US Regular Gasoline (EIA) | 3.91 | $/gal | 2026-06-22 | 🟡 Elevated |
| US Recession by EOY 2026 (Polymarket) | 12 | % prob | 2026-06-24 | 🟢 Contained |