Live Risk Score Table
| signal | value | unit | as_of | status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| World CPI YoY (IMF) | 3.51 | % | 2026-M01 | 🟡 Elevated |
| BAA Credit Spread (FRED) | 1.72 | % | 2026-04-20 | 🟢 Contained |
| 10Y–2Y Yield Curve (FRED) | 0.52 | % | 2026-04-21 | 🟢 Contained |
| 5Y Breakeven Inflation (FRED) | 2.6 | % | 2026-04-21 | 🟡 Elevated |
| US Regular Gasoline (EIA) | 4.04 | $/gal | 2026-04-20 | 🔴 Critical |
| US Recession by EOY 2026 (Polymarket) | 25 | % prob | 2026-04-23 | 🟠 Watch |